Republican New Jersey gubernatorial candidate Jack Ciattarelli conceded to Democratic New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy on Friday. And despite his obvious disappointment about the outcome, Ciattarelli made it clear that he let the vote count play itself out, even though he thought voting rules in New Jersey allows the counting process to go on too long. He also made it clear that there was no fraud, there were no indications of irregularities, and there was no mathematical way he could win the election even when all of the votes are counted. One can only hope that Ciattarelli's graciousness will inspire other Republicans to pull away from Trump and his accusations of fraud. His fellow New Jersey Republican Chris Christie has already made the case that the party put Trump and his rants about the 2020 election behind them.
Sunday, November 14, 2021
Jack Be Nimble, Jack Be Quick
Thursday, November 11, 2021
Murphy's Law of Reassessment
The past week and change has caused me to look at the aftermath of the 2021 elections again, especially the gubernatorial election in New Jersey.
Three out of four ain't bad, but you'd never know that from TV commentators not named Rachel by their mothers or named Maddow by their fathers. You'd also never know how historic it was that Murphy was the first re-elected Democratic governor since Brendan Byrne (who won re-election the same year that Ed Koch was first elected mayor of New York City - again, 1977 was that long ago). And so the takeaway is that the Democrats got shellacked, largely on the basis of Republican wins in local races in New York State that no one cares about nationally and on the fact that the Democrats lost control of the Virginia House of Delegates - never mind that they still control both houses of the New Jersey legislature.
In no way am I suggesting that the Democrats don't have to worry about messaging or responding to voters' concerns in 2022; that's still a big deal. So is the presence of "progressives" who want to take money away from police departments when Eric Adams, the biggest winner in the Democratic Part this year, won the mayor's office in New York City by pledging to defend the police rather than defund them. (He's an ex-cop.) But the lashes the Democratic Party took last week were more from a wet noodle than a cat of nine tails.
However, the election in New Jersey is still a concern, because Jack Ciattarelli still won't concede to Murphy, despite being behind him by a larger percentage of the vote than Terry McAuliffe ended up behind Republican Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin in Virginia - and McAuliffe has already conceded. In no other major election this year has a losing Republican refused to concede, mainly because they lost by a lot. But by losing by only less than three points, Ciattarelli has remained adamant about waiting it out until the last vote is counted - and then he might ask for an expensive recount. And Ciattarelli supporters are already making charges of fraud and vote rigging, though the candidate has not endorsed these charges.
I was afraid of this. The first Republican challenge to the results of an election after President Biden's inauguration is taking place not in California or in New York City but in New Jersey. New Jersey, a state whose residents are known for their hard-handed, hard-edged belligerence. We have rappers from Essex County who could scare the hell out of South Bronx rappers, and I'm just talking about the sista rappers. "The Sopranos" played like a documentary about the state, and in some ways, it is. The unofficial state motto is an expletive. Our largest city, Newark, is nicknamed Brick City. We're so tough, we made a state park out of a rail yard. And a lot of our bad-asses voted Republican in this election. So, you can imagine how scared we should be if Ciattarelli supporters descend on Trenton to disrupt Governor Murphy's re-inauguration.
Jack should concede now, if he doesn't want a demonstration in Trenton in January 2022 to make January 6 look like a church social. This is dangerous. 😱
Saturday, November 6, 2021
Election Inspection
The Democrats look like they could go back to going full Whig. After the election returns this past Tuesday, how could you not come to that conclusion?
(By the way, if you go back to my post from this past Monday and make a sentence from the first word of each sentence in it, you'll see that I called Virginia right.)
Oh yeah, it's so obvious that woke-ism is so out of place in These States - even in our major-league cities - that Buffalo mayor Byron Brown was re-elected as a write-in candidate after losing the Democratic nomination to a self-described socialist!
But the muddled message wasn't the only issue - so was the fact that the Democratic Congress was supposed to deliver the goods and spent much of the past year arguing with each other. In the end, they were the only people who were "woke" on Tuesday.
The Democrats still have a chance to cut their losses in the 2022 midterms, if they prove they can govern and pass legislation that will help the people. Last night, they got off to a good but troubled start; the House finally passed President Biden's infrastructure bill, which now goes to the White House for the President's signature. But distrust remains over the reconciliation bill, and there's a long way to go to get that settled. Moderates, however, have committed themselves to voting on it ,later, so maybe we can still build back better. And maybe get voting rights legislation passed. Or, we could end up seeing a Republican Congress in 2023 passing a whole new round of tax cuts.
And by the way, speaking of voting rights . . . voting rights were expanded in Virginia and New Jersey, and look what happened.
Oh yeah, congratulations to Michelle Wu for becoming the first elected female mayor and mayor of color of Boston.
Monday, October 25, 2021
Gubernatorial Unease
Neither one of these revolting developments was supposed to happen. Youngkin is a Trump straw man in a state Trump lost to Biden by ten points in the 2020 presidential election. New Jersey should be even more of a gimme for the Democrats, yet Ciattarelli is in a position to keep the incumbency curse on New Jersey Democratic governors going - no Democratic New Jersey governor has won a second term since Brendan Byrne in 1977, while three Republican New Jersey governors have.
McAuliffe has been patiently waiting for President Biden to get his infrastructure legislation through Congress and give him an edge over Youngkin, but even if that legislation passes Congress tomorrow, McAuliffe has to answer for his big fumble in a gubernatorial debate in which he said that parents have no right to tell school boards how to educate their kids. Really, Terry? Okay, what McAuliffe meant was that parents have no right to threaten school board members who either advocate strict COVID measures or push history courses that include more people of color, but it didn't come out right. Now that Youngkin has that McAuliffe gaffe on tape, the election may not come out right for McAuliffe no matter how much he tries to correct the record.
Sunday, May 16, 2021
Whiplash
Back around Easter time, Dr. Rochelle Walensky (below), director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, was afraid we were on the cusp of another COVID surge. Then she was criticized for keeping numerous COVID restrictions in place when a surge did not happen. Now she's gone completely in the opposite direction and announced that people who are fully vaccinated against VOCID can now go anywhere, including public indoor spaces, without wearing a face covering, which I will henceforth refer to in this post as an FC. (I stopped wearing mine outside long before the CDC said I could, because not needing an FC outside was already common knowledge.)
Thanks to decisions made in the private sector and by state and local governments, though, none of the CDC's new guidelines and recommendations matter. Many chain stores, such as Target and Home Depot, still require FCs at their locations, and while several states are lifting FC mandates, New Jersey is not one of them. Governor Phil Murphy said that the FC mandate in the state, will continue for several more weeks, despite the fact that the rate of full vaccination in New Jersey is higher than the country at large. )New York and California are keeping their FC mandates in place as well.) And in the U.S. House of Representatives, Speaker Nancy Pelosi has made it clear that the FC rule on the House floor will continue because too many Republican House members haven't gotten vaccinated yet. She'll gladly lift the rule when enough of them do. But, of course, even if they do so privately despite all the anti-vaccine rhetoric in the GOP and tell Speaker Pelosi in full confidence, it will become apparent that GOP House members will have gotten vaccinated simply because the FC rule has been lifted. The Republicans have a large minority caucus in the House, five seats away from taking control, and so a lot of them have to get a COVID shot before the FC rule in the House floor is lifted. A fully vaccinated Democratic House caucus won't be enough to have the rule lifted. If House Republicans are seen as having gotten vaccinated against COVID and going against the view of constituents who don't trust the vaccine, they'll get voted out of office for "selling out." So even if some House Republicans get vaccinated against COVID in private, they will not tell Speaker Pelosi, who, in turn, will not lift the FC rule. (The rule has been dropped in the Senate, as most Republican senators, more confident in their standings with voters statewide, have been vaccinated, Kentucky's Rand Paul and Wisconsin's Ron Johnson - both having had COVID - being exceptions.)
Perversely, the joint session of Congress President Biden addressed in April should have been an FC-free zone. Only vaccinated lawmakers and lawmakers who tested negative within 24 hours of the speech were allowed on the House floor, yet they still had to wear FCs despite it being a COVID-free environment. (The entire Congress was not in attendance, of course.) Thus, when we saw two women - Speaker Pelosi and Vice President Kamala Harris - sit behind the President on the House dais for the first time, we couldn't see their faces. It became an historic moment for all the wrong reasons. Dr. Wen thought that enforcing the FC mandate in the House even for President Biden's speech sent the wrong message when it was already proven that everyone in the room did not have COVID and they could have gone without FCs to show that vaccines work. Now she thinks the CDC is sending the wrong message by saying that anyone fully vaccinated from COVID can stop wearing FCs everywhere - when the Speaker of the House, many state governors, and a whole bunch of national chains have made it clear that we most certainly can not.
The CDC has gone from downplaying the virus under Trump to being overcautious, then inconsistent, under Biden. My biggest fear is that the more the CDC tries to clarify its directives on COVID, the more confusion it will cause.
And I'll have to keep writing very long blog posts on the subject.
One more wrinkle: Despite having been fully vaccinated against COVID, several people, including comedian Bill Maher and several members of the New York Yankees baseball team, have tested positive for the disease. At a time of vaccine hesitancy, how is Dr. Walensky going to handle that?
Saturday, May 8, 2021
Does Ciattarelli Know Jack?
It looks like New Jersey Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli, 59, will win the Republican nomination to run for Governor of New Jersey in the primary election a month from today. And I'm beginning to wonder if he has a chance against incumbent Democrat Phil Murphy.
Ciattarelli rightly points out that such businesses provide a sense of community and continuity, and they provide jobs for the little guy - and the business owners are little guys (and gals) themselves who contribute to the local economy. The economy and the community, in fact, are one and the same. Without one, you can't have the other. Our small towns were already in dire straits before the pandemic, and the ones that were making out better were the towns that focused on "destination economies" - economies that rely on local arts and entertainment attractions, restaurants, specialty shops and the like. When the COVID pandemic ends, many of these same "destination economy" towns, like Morristown or Red Bank in New Jersey, won't be a destination for anyone. You'll be able to stand in the downtown areas of one of these "destination" towns on a bright spring Saturday afternoon and see fewer people about than you would standing on the boardwalk in Atlantic City on a Monday morning in January.
Ciattarelli has three strikes against him, though, and any one of them could tag him out. First of all, he's running for governor of Democratic New Jersey as a Republican. Second, his pitch seems to express more concern for business owners than employees, making him sound he cares more about livelihoods than lives in the middle of a pandemic, no matter how focused he is on small businesses as opposed to big business. (A small-business owner himself, he's known for being hostile toward unions.) Third, no one blames Murphy for their favorite burger joint or clothes boutique going out of business; his approval rating on handling the pandemic now stands at 80 percent.
Let's see what happens.