The Picture of Dorian

This is it.

And it's a hell of a storm. It is expected to approach the eastern coast of Florida sometime after the Labor Day holiday as a Category 4 hurricane. While the likeliest scenario for Dorian is that it makes landfall somewhere on the Florida peninsula, there are computer projections suggesting that it might stop short of landfall and hug the coast as it turns north.  

Whatever happens in Florida, though, may only be the first chapter in this story.  If Dorian were to stay off shore as it moves north, it could have a serious impact on Georgia and the Carolinas.  And depending how the upper winds steer it, it could affect areas farther north than that.

I'll come out and say it - Dorian could strengthen over the ocean and possibly affect the greater New York area, where I live, this time next week!  Fortunately, the chances of that remain low . . . for now.

All that said, It's too early to tell where it ultimately goes until it makes landfall - or doesn't make landfall - in Florida.  And even though the storm may seem to stay the same, its picture gets stronger!