Whither Snow?

Time for my Wednesday weather report . . . :-D

Today, northern New Jersey and the rest of the Greater New York area should see some light snow from a clipper, but after that, the forecast gets interesting.  The major weather bureaus have been calling for the possibility snow this coming Saturday.  A couple of them, such as AccuWeather and the National Weather Service, had called for the area to have sunshine for the whole weekend.  Both weather services have since backed off from that earlier forecast, with AccuWeather calling for up to six inches of the white stuff, maybe more.  

But here's the deal.  No one can decide if this storm is actually going to happen, not even three days out.  At this writing, there is uncertainty about the track of the storm - it may either move farther out to sea, sparing the New York area, or move along the coast, becoming a classic mid-winter nor'easter.  My take?  We're probably going to get snow, and a good deal of it.   

Why am I so confident?  Again, it's the law of averages.  The biggest snowstorm my area has so far this season was on the day before Thanksgiving, and what little snow we've gotten since has been a nuisance at best.  We've been lucky so far, but with only one month of winter behind us and still two months to go - and the perpetually ongoing possibility of April snow (a white Easter is possible this year, as it falls on April 5 in 2015) - this winter is far from over, and even if if this storm misses us, there's plenty of time for something else to happen.  Don't believe me?  In the winter of 2009-10, we had a quiet January in the East, then we got what was called "Snowmageddon" in February - one big snowstorm after another.  Who knows what this winter is yet to bring?