Terrorism and the Election

The recent terror alert has reminded people of Bush's trump card in this election; people would rather stick with the devil they know than go with the devil they don't know in a time of global instability, and fears of terrorism may lead enough swing voters (there aren't many such voters to begin with this year!) to stick with Dub the Shrub.

I concede that that's pretty accurate. I've said before, if there's a terrorist attack in the two or three weeks before the election, Bush will win. But if there's an counteroffensive in Iraq comparable to the Tet Offensive of January 1968 in Vietnam, John Kerry will win.
And if neither happens? Who knows?